An author of no particular popularity

Jay Lake
Date: 2012-04-12 05:39
Subject: [links] Link salad is magically bored on a quiet street corner
Security: Public
Tags:art, cancer, climate, cool, ebooks, education, healthcare, links, media, nature, personal, politics, publishing, science, tech, weird
The Sound of One Shoe DroppingScrivener's Error on U.S. v. Apple, Inc., et al., the shiny new lawsuit alleging ebook price fixing. (Disclaimer, Macmillan, my own publisher via my Tor relationship, is a defendant in this lawsuit.)

Airplane Lavatory Self-Portraits, in the Flemish Style — Hahaha. (Via [info]willyumtx.)

I remember you — Roger Ebert on the meaning of death.

Why Scientists Are Fooling Animals With Virtual RealityNew technological developments in virtual reality allow researchers to study the neurological basis of decision making in insects, rodents, and other animals. But do roaches truly think the simulation is real, or are they just playing a video game? It's the Matrix! (Snurched from @DavidBrin1.)

Computer Scientists Build Computer Using Swarms of CrabsLogic gates that exploit the swarming behaviour of soldier crabs have been built and tested in Japan. The future is here, and it has claws…

Bits of the Future: First Universal Quantum Network Prototype Links 2 Separate LabsPhysicists demonstrate a scalable quantum network that ought to be adaptable for all manner of long-distance quantum communication.

'Universal' cancer vaccine developed A vaccine that can train cancer patients' own bodies to seek out and destroy tumour cells has been developed by scientists. (Via [info]shelly_rae.)

Closer to using aspirin for cancer prevention — Not that it helps me now… (Via [info]bravado111.)

Saving Lives in a Time of Cholera — (Via [info]tillyjane.)

Now This Is Interesting: A Climate Prediction From 1981 — Hey. Guess what. They were right. Amazing, how those facts just line up against the conservative worldview over and over again. (Snurched from Slacktivist.)

Born This WayThe new weird science of hardwired political identity. Speaking of yesterday's post. (Via AH.)

Which Way Does Your Blog Lean? — An analysis of political discourse online. The practices of the left are more consistent with the prediction that the networked public sphere offers new pathways for discursive participation by a wider array of individuals, whereas the practices of the right suggest that a small group of elites may retain more exclusive agenda-setting authority online.

Allen West: I've 'Heard' 80 House Democrats Are Communist Party Members — Tell me again that conservatives aren't bugfuck crazy?

Tennessee “Monkey Bill” Update — Speaking of bugfuck crazy. Ah, conservatives. Ruining education for all of America's children, not just their own. Yet another reason I can never be a conservative. I just don't have it in me to force such massive intellectual inconsistency and deep counterfactuals on generations of young minds.

Ann Romney takes to Twitter to defend herself — Take a public stance, deal with the public response. Just be glad you'll never get the Hillary treatment from Your Liberal Media, Ann. As a conservative, you're immune to that level of investigation and harassment. Nancy Reagan and both Bush first ladies proved that in spades.

Santorum stands down — Ah, Senator Frothy Mix, we hardly knew ya'.

Remembering Rick Santorum: Obama’s Secret Weapon

Re-Election Would Allow Obama to Ignore the Left More Than He Already Does — The conservative idea that somehow Obama's "inner leftist" will be unleashed is just another one of their bizarre fixations. I'm one of those people who voted enthusiastically for Obama from the left last time around, and has been repeatedly disappointed ever since. Trust me, he's no leftist.

?otd: Are you out of your brain on the train?

Writing time yesterday: 1.5 hours (3,000 words on Their Currents Turn Awry)
Body movement: 30 minute stationary bike ride
Hours slept: 6.5 (solid)
Weight: 239.6
Currently reading: The Bone Doll's Twin by Lynn Flewelling

Post A Comment | 4 Comments | | Flag | Link

Clint Harris
User: wendigomountain
Date: 2012-04-12 15:06 (UTC)
Subject: (no subject)
Jay, are you Obama's "inner leftist"? ;)
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User: shelly_rae
Date: 2012-04-12 16:40 (UTC)
Subject: (no subject)
Aspirin pretty much is a wonder drug. I take it to prevent the blood clots from the messed up arteries in my neck (no more ports for me). But it also makes any bump become a huge bruise. My legs never look good and people sometimes take me aside and ask in that concerned way if I'm being abused at home. sigh. Plus other things in combination with the other meds, chemo--I think my gums will never heal. Oh well.</p>

But yay for wonder drugs. Even if a bit too late.

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User: ericjamesstone
Date: 2012-04-18 07:32 (UTC)
Subject: Re that 1981 prediction
From the story you linked to: "They have found a paper by James Hansen and others from 1981, before climate change was even an occasion for political disagreement."

So, in 1981, supposedly before politics entered the equation, we have a projection that underestimated warming. (Actually, if you look at the thick pink average line, it stops for no apparent reason before reaching the end of the data. To me, it looks like if they continued it, it would enter the area of projected warming by the end. In any case, the current temperature is inside the projected range, so the projection is no longer an underestimate.)

With seven more years to work on all the science of global warming, including gathering more data and creating more sophisticated computer models using more powerful computers, James Hansen made his much more famous projection before Congress. Presumably, better science would lead to more accurate predictions. But the 1988 Hansen projections overestimated the actual warming we would see by 2012 by a wider margin than the 1981 projection underestimated it. See http://www.skepticalscience.com/Hansen-1988-prediction.htm (which is on a site that actually supports climate alarmism).

So, if we take the original article at its word that the projection was made before politics entered into it, we're left with two possible interpretations of what happened in 1988: (a) Hansen is just such an incompetent scientist that gathering more data and having more powerful computer models actually made his predictions worse, or (b) Hansen let his politics influence his predictions because he wanted to get Congress to act to reduce CO2 emissions.

I'm curious as to why either (a) or (b) should induce confidence in the current state of climate science, since Hansen is still considered one of the leading researchers.
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User: cissa
Date: 2012-04-21 00:00 (UTC)
Subject: (no subject)
I'm going to vote Green this time. I am sick of voting for the supposedly "lesser evil" who generally does their best to compete with the "greater evil" as soon as they can. Like Obama did.
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January 2014
2012 appearances